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South African Field Report 8.2.19

Vine fruit

Weather conditions have been very good until first week February. Rain is forecasted for the next few days and it may reduce the crop size. Impact on quality will depend on the period the product will be exposed to the rain. We will provide update soonest.

The product that has been dried is of excellent quality, but the crop is two weeks later than PY, therefore the next few weeks are critical . Rain is the last thing that the farmers and packers need at this stage of the crop.

The size of the crop seems to be smaller than 2018 and is estimated to be around 65 000 tonnes. The currant crop in Vredendal will be even smaller than PY and the impact of the drought still evident. The volumes of the lighter product in color , particularly golden sultanas will be significantly lower, mainly due to the high prices being offered for TSR to farmers. Farmers were therefore inclined to dry more TSR and less goldens. At this stage less than 3% of the product has been delivered, but by end February one should have a better idea of volumes and availability.

Prices to farmers are at record levels in Rand terms.

Tree fruit

The sugar levels of the apricots are not as high as previous years and the weight per fruit as a result is lower. The apricot crop therefore again in very short supply. The volumes of Elberta peaches and pears also lower due to low prices offered to farmers.

date:  Feb 11, 2019 comments:  Comments Off on South African Field Report 8.2.19
by:  Chris Wilding category:  Latest News Read More

Californian Walnuts… The January 2019 shipments versus the January 2018 shipments on an inshell equivalent were up 28%

WALNUT MARKET AND CROP UPDATE- January 2019

Domestic – January 2019 shipments versus 2018 shipments  on an inshell equivalent were up 26%

Export – January 2019 shipments versus 2018 shipments on an inshell equivalent were up 28.5% .

Key Market Shipments:  January 2019 versus January 2018

Inshell UAE: 13.75 Million vs 2.59 Million for an increase of +429%!!!

Inshell Pakistan: 1.99 Million vs 0 lbs

Shelled Germany:  5.24 Million vs 6.09 Million for a decrease of 14%

Inshell Turkey: 15.21 Million vs 7.1 Million for increase of +114%

Crop Size: Crop size, and Final size, is 672,723 tons. 

Market: Shipments were going to be strong by the lack of availability for January shipments in December but this exceeded many expectations. Middle East had massive shipments with strong Ramadan purchasing. Dubai shipped almost 14 million lbs in January!! Incredible. Reports from Dubai are that sales continue to be strong, they still want more for First half March but inventory in CA is extremely low. We do not expect February to be much different as packers have had full February packing schedules since early January.

Prices: When prices in October/Early November reached their lows, global consumption  picked up and prices have increased ever since. Inventory on all varieties of inshell and Chandler kernels are low, pricing reflects the low inventory. Jumbo Large Chandler remains around 1.18 FAS, however Chile has started to sell inshell for End of March forward shipments and most middle east customers have switched to focusing on Chilean. Chandler kernels have seen a sharp increase in past 2 weeks, packers who do have inventory are taking advantage and offering at 3.20-3.25 FAS.

Chilean: Middle East and Turkey have shown strong demand, especially for End of March or beginning April shipments.

date:  Feb 11, 2019 comments:  Comments Off on Californian Walnuts… The January 2019 shipments versus the January 2018 shipments on an inshell equivalent were up 28%
by:  Chris Wilding category:  Latest News Read More

Raw cashew nut 2019 crop scenario:

Crop reports are coming in globally – Some places early and most places a good crop.

At new crop raw cashew prices the processing parity of cashews is coming to 3.60 USD/lb

The prices are expected to move southwards and therefore larger processors are willing to sell April /May /June positions close to 3.55-3.60 USD/lb (some may be at 3.51). There is no raw material in the processing warehouses . It will start arriving in March and April.

Processors have not contracted raw cashew nut as they do not have enough sales in the books so they want to put some sales in the books.

Many buyers of kernels  have made their purchase hand to mouth.

Kernel price movement and volatility 

10-20 cents is the impact loss each time market sentiment changes. A lot of kernel in oct contracted at 3.30-3.40… many contracts were defaulted as markets quickly rose to 3.70 levels.

Large traders are short and they are now trying to push the market down and then cover.

Price View  :

Vietnam market is skewed to USA and China as they constitute 80% of the demand.

In USA the trading houses  have taken shorts from Jan to June .

Chinese demand comes in after one month of the new year and they will be in the market some time first half March .

date:  Jan 28, 2019 comments:  Comments Off on Raw cashew nut 2019 crop scenario:
by:  Chris Wilding category:  Latest News Read More

Seeds Update

Linseed

Market is just starting to get a bit tighter in terms of available unsold raw material. Stocks in Western Europe are very low with deliveries into processors really starting to slow up. Every pre-supplier is struggling to get linseed into Europe ant they are now starting to have to pay a premium for prompt shipments. Y-O-Y costing has been hit by increases in the cost of paper and transport costs (mainly fuel driven). Paper bags went up in price with 10% in 2019 & transport rates went up with 5% in 2019. Our supplier is reporting they have product unsold but enquiries are starting to trickle in for Q3/Q4 and that they’ll start to see pressure on their unsold material as we get closer to Q2.

Hulled Millet

We are expecting the market to remain difficult throughout the crop. Buyers have been trying to source better prices from across USA, Poland & Ukraine, and now many origins now have very limited volume remaining. Packers in USA are reporting a full forward book for 2/3 months when previously they had spare capacity for prompt shipments, this is likely to get worse as shipments from Ukraine & Poland slow down with available material really drying up. A hot summer will continue to put pressure on European harvest as we experienced with last year. Prices are only expected to continue to rise in the coming months.

Sunflower

Market has been fairly flat recently however we are seeing some additional demand from China. The expectation is that the market would expect to remain fairly stable at around €620/mt FOB with only currency variations really pushing prices up.

Pumpkin

It is apparent that the demand for pumpkin seeds, especially for European markets, is currently slow however other markets such as Indian and America continues to have strong demand. At present the raw material availability is starting to tighten but packers are actively chasing new business and as such are offering competitively against each other in the hope of securing sales before the expected squeeze on raw material strikes. The coming months we are expecting the prices to rise steadily. Domestic use of material for the roasted industry is increasing year on year with this now showing the initial signs of putting genuine pressure on the quantity that China will be able to export.

Poppy

Prices rose sharply during 2018 hitting all time highs. Problem is though, that while these price levels indeed have been noted, availability is still very scarce, so demand keeps on constantly exceeding supply, certainly at the current levels and most probably also at, again, a tick higher levels. Demand remains healthy, with prices being adjusted by the week and all over the globe, where fresh inquiries are landing more and more in the EU from the other continents as well, which resulted in a solid floor under, as well as being further supportive to, the current price levels.  

date:  Jan 21, 2019 comments:  Comments Off on Seeds Update
by:  Chris Wilding category:  Latest News Read More

Walnut Crop update and Market report December 2018


Happy New Year All!

A report to reflect on last year’s Walnut Market and crops, for the month of December.

The December 2018 shipments versus the December 2017 shipments on an inshell equivalent were up approximately 12.5%.  Total was 77,012 tons versus 67,408 tons last year.

Domestic Market – December 2018 shipments versus 2017 shipments on an inshell equivalent were down -8.3%

Export Market – December 2018 shipments versus 2017 shipments on an inshell equivalent were up about +19%.

The Numbers – Key Market Shipments:  December 2018 versus December 2017

  • Shelled Germany:  6.173 Million vs 8.179 Million for a decrease of (-24.5%)
  • Inshell China/Hong Kong: 573,108 vs 3.97 Million for a decrease of (-85.5 %)
  • Inshell Vietnam: 683,316 vs 1.7 Million for a decrease of + 60.8%
  • Inshell UAE: 11.5 Million vs 2.16 Million for an increase of +432%
  • Inshell Pakistan: 2.072 Million vs 221,552 for an increase of +835.5%
  • Inshell Turkey: 16 Million vs 9.3 Million for increase of +71.83%

Crop Size: Crop receipts are 669,868,036 tons as of December 31th, 2018. 

Market: Turkey up almost 72%, Dubai up 432%, Pakistan up 835%!! This confirms that buyers can ship large quantities when prices are below the $1.00 per pound mark. The Middle East more than makes up for China/Hong Kong/Vietnam being down dramatically. Germany continues to disappoint with kernel shipments down -24.5%, Spain did well on kernels up +14.5%, and up over 75% on inshell.

Prices: Inshell demand has come in strong in the past 2 weeks, especially from the Middle East. California has shipped inshell heavily since the beginning of the season, January will be the same with most suppliers packing schedules full for the month of January and the first half of February. As a result, most sellers have sold out and others hesitant to offer until they know exactly what they have. Prices have increased dramatically as a result, with reputable sellers now wanting $1.15 FAS for Jumbo Large Chandler. We expect continued firming on inshell prices, kernels will soon follow as the season progresses.  Some industry experts predict inshell prices will reach $1.25 FAS soon.

Any advise we can offer, feel free to get in touch.

Ben Jones

National Account Manager.

Phone: 01376 343500 / Mob: 0751 443196

date:  Jan 21, 2019 comments:  Comments Off on Walnut Crop update and Market report December 2018
by:  Chris Wilding category:  Latest News Read More

Almonds Report

The Almond Board of California has released the position report with shipments of 199.6 million pounds compared to 204.5 million pounds last year for a decrease of 2.4 percent.

DOMESTIC: 53.38 million pounds +0.8%

EXPORT: 146.22 million pounds -3.5%

The December report displays about 97% of Almond receipts, and brings perspective to the size of the crop. This year it reflects a crop size of 2.202 billion lbs, -0.25% down over the previous year. It is affirmed that this year’s crop will be approximately the same as last year: 2.28 up to 2.30 billion lbs.

The Californian weather has been enjoying some constant rain this month, which brings them closer to their normal averages for this time of year. The snow had been below average a couple of weeks ago, but winter storms over the Sierra Mountains have brought some good quantities of snow. It is anticipated to have more rain and snow in the coming weeks.

Over the past few weeks, sales have been solid. Due to producers realizing that the crop will come in below what had been originally estimated, costs have started to increase. All markets hold a strong demand as almonds are competitively priced. Indian prices have recently recovered, and are closer to the Californian spot prices again. Indian buyers have now been more active as a result of this.

California sold 179.6 mm lbs during December, which was an unanticipated new record. This achievement will bolster the confidence that, although some prices have approached a high, demand is still strong.

date:  Jan 16, 2019 comments:  Comments Off on Almonds Report
by:  Jena Dickson category:  Latest News Read More

Desiccated coconut market

First of all we wish you a happy, prosperous and above all healthy 2019! Let’s hope this will be a great year for all of us.

Although we are barely in to the new year, we have already begun to collate information from these origins with regard to the DC market and its prospects throughout 2019.

The second half of 2018 in particular would be best described as “cautious”, with most buyers only covering ‘hand to mouth’. Buyers weren’t rushing to buy at depressed market prices, despite a lot of requests for coverage out to the 3Q and even the 4Q of 2019 being there. Of course, buyers see this as an opportunity to cover their long term needs at today’s prices. But producers are not willing to offer forward positions at the same as today’s rates.

Sri Lanka: DC production is almost at a standstill. Some mills are planning to renew production next week while others will recommence production afterward, when demand picks up. The weather conditions that Sri Lanka experienced over 2018 were very favorable. As a result coconut production is expected to return to normal this year, particularly after the 2nd quarter of 2019. On the demand side, with the early Ramadan this year (the Holy month of Ramadan commences from 1st week in May in 2019) overseas demand for coconut of Sri Lankan origin, particularly from the Middle-East countries, will increase in the upcoming months. Sri Lanka producers foresee this will have an upward effect on the prices.

Indonesia: the supply of nuts will be fine until Q2 of 2019. Coconut oil prices stay on the lower side, which will keep the prices low for the next two months at least. The present coconut oil price has already driven the price of raw nuts in Indonesia down to the bottom. If reduced any further, the farmers will no longer have any interest in the planting of coconut trees. Indonesian packers are concerned that if this happens it will disrupt the supply and rates of coconut long term.

The Philippines: nut supplies remain bountiful, and prices seem to have moved sideways for a few months now which suggests a bottom. Although we constantly see a small price blip in the early new year, as the mills start up at the same time and the farmers take a while to start harvesting again after Christmas. There is no medium term nut supply issues, and prices could increase slightly in this period.

date:  Jan 07, 2019 comments:  Comments Off on Desiccated coconut market
by:  Jena Dickson category:  Latest News Read More

Merry Christmas!

From all the team at Chelmer Foods, we would like to wish everyone
Merry Christmas!!!

Thanks for all your support over the last year. May 2019 be equally “fruitful” for all.

This is the time of year best spent with family, friends and loved ones. Therefore, we at Chelmer Foods are giving some attention to those who don’t have a home. We have made a donation to Crisis at Christmas, so that people who need support to get back on their feet can do so.

Supporting this good cause is something we can do to allow more people to enjoy the holidays with their loved ones.

Wishing you once again a Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!

date:  Dec 24, 2018 comments:  Comments Off on Merry Christmas!
by:  Jena Dickson category:  Latest News Read More

Market Update Dehydrates from Thailand

Pineapple

We are right now in the middle of winter crop period , the price of fresh pineapple this week is about Bht2.70-3.50/kg. Still the price is in the low level, regardless of low supply available in the industry. This is assumed to be caused by relatively low demand of Thailand canned pineapple still during this period. The winter crop is expected to last until this coming February 2019. Summer crop 2019 is too early to be expected but we have seen the reducing number of plantations throughout this year.

Consequently, with low level of fruits supply, it has already affected the shortage of core pineapple in the market from now up till Jan./Feb.2019.  We’ll recommend customers to be careful for the available supply again for pineapple during Feb onward.

Papaya

We are now in the peak season of papaya which is normally during Oct- Jan. but the supply is extremely lower than the demand in the market.  Fresh papaya price has gone up now to Bht11-12/kg.  and even at this price, it’s still difficult to obtain the supply in the market. In term of the quality, it seems the colour of papaya is also paler than usual. Consequently, we expect the price of papaya would remain relatively firm throughout the first 3 quarters of 2019.

Mango

It’s the season of winter mango season now where normally the price is more expensive than the main crop in summer.  The price of mango during this winter is approximately 10% more expensive than the same period of last year, mainly due to the strong demand of fresh mango by Vietnamese market. 

For next summer crop 2019, it’s still early to predict because there are about 2-3 months to go and it depends also for the demand of fresh mango in our neighbouring countries. We should be able to get clearer picture of the situation around February 2019 and will keep you updated.

Ginger

The crop of ginger was already over since last October 2018. The price of fresh ginger was also about 70% more expensive than last year crop and with the big rainfall during the 3rd quarter of this year, it damaged badly to the fresh ginger.  It consequently affects to the quality of ginger.

date:  Dec 04, 2018 comments:  Comments Off on Market Update Dehydrates from Thailand
by:  Chris Wilding category:  Latest News Read More

Turkish Apricot Update November 2018

  • Exports in October were 11,097 tons, compared to 11,825 tons last year, a decrease of 6%
  • Exports year to date are 29,575 tons compared to 30,164 tons last year, a decrease of 1.6 %
  • Average export price for whole apricots for October was $2695 ton FOB compared to $2924 average for 2017 crop.

Export figures were in line with expectations. Prices are still lower than last year, and crop size and characteristics are the same as last year, and exports are running very much in line with last year. Prices reflect the weaker Lira earlier in the season when many contracts were booked. Subsequently the Lira has continued to strengthen, and is now trading at 5.44 to the $, a gain of 10% over the month and over 20% since the lows during the summer when  much of the fruit was contracted. Packers who did not cover both their fruit and their currency in August are now facing big losses. Some contracts are being delayed.

The banks continue to restrict access to credit, or are making it very expensive, interest rates for Lira loans are over 30% whereas $ based export credits cost between 9 and 14% depending on the bank. There are a number of packers who are now forced to look to growers to finance their raw materials, always a ominous sign. The strengthening Lira, mainly attributed to improving international relationships particularly with the USA, may take some of the pressure off the banks balance sheets and allow them to refinance their foreign currency loans, but inflation is still rising and reached 25% in October, so the crisis is not over yet, and the risk of renewed pressure on the Lira is significant.

Growers have now sold the majority of their fruit, those who have not in the main will hang on to it until bloom. Prices of quality fruit, in particular large fruit continue to increase both in Lira terms and in $ terms. A differential of $2000 per ton between size 1 and size 4 has developed.

date:  Nov 12, 2018 comments:  Comments Off on Turkish Apricot Update November 2018
by:  Chris Wilding category:  Latest News Read More