Early reports from the field are that the NP (nonpareil) crop is down 5% to 10% or more from last year. Packers believe we will not reach the Objective Estimate. Certainly a crop bigger than the objective estimate does not seem possible at this time. Some growers/packers are indicating we may see a crop of only 1.70 to 1.75 billion pounds, well below the estimate of 1.8 billion pounds.
Kernel sizes thus far are extremely small and very light weight. Kernels are very dry as well. Some packers are reporting sizes being down 1-2 sizes on their orchards from the previous year. This is very early information. We will keep you informed on what we are hearing from the orchards.