Chia Crop 29.05.26
Paraguay Chia Crop 2026: Strong Outlook, Weather Watch, and Harvest Expectations
Paraguay’s 2026 chia campaign continues to show steady and encouraging development as we approach the key pre-harvest period. Crop conditions remain largely favourable across the country, although weather risks later in the season warrant close attention.
Here’s what you need to know:
Crop Progress: On Track for a Solid Season
- Over 60% of planted areas have reached medium to advanced growth stages
- Harvest is expected to begin late July, with peak activity in August
- Overall crop condition is rated good to very good nationwide
Recent cold weather has only affected isolated southern fields, with no significant impact on central and northern regions. Given that the south represents just 10–15% of national production, overall supply expectations remain stable.
Weather Outlook: Supportive Now, Uncertain Later
June–July Outlook: Positive
- Forecasts indicate below-average rainfall
- Dry conditions are beneficial for maturation and harvest preparation
- Lower risk of:
- Grain deterioration
- Fungal issues
- Harvest delays
August Risk Factor
- Early models suggest potential for increased rainfall
- This coincides with the peak harvest window
- Excess moisture could:
- Impact quality
- Delay operations
- Echo disruptions were seen last season
Additionally, moderate frost risk remains in southern areas, though currently not a major concern at the national level.
Market Outlook: Positive but Cautious
Paraguay continues to benefit from:
- Strong international demand
- Competitive quality positioning versus other origins
- Generally stable crop development
However, it’s too early to confirm final production outcomes. As seen last season, conditions can shift quickly due to weather volatility, particularly when rainfall and frost events combine.
